15t siden
Deep Dive is out my terminally online friends. A nice weekend read to bring you upto speed on everything Prediction Markets.
I talk - a lot in here. Bear with me!!
The aim is for anyone reading to choose the topics of their interest and then explore that topic further
1. Why do we need onchain prediction markets?
2. How are modern prediction markets designed?
3. The absolute dominance of @Polymarket and @Kalshi
4. The Predictive Power of Prediction Markets
5. Five Unsolved Problems plaguing the category
6. Some recommendations for solving these problems (And the startups already doing so)
7. Prediction Market Adjacent Apps that are at a critical juncture
8. How to value the market opportunity here
9. Real risks that are not discussed by the permabulls
10. My expectations from a Polymarket token
DMs always open if you're building something cool in the prediction markets space. I want to try and test as many new products as possible
16t siden
Prediction markets have become Web3's mainstream breakthrough.
The next frontier is Prediction Market Terminals.
Professional traders need data density and execution speed more than discovery. This creates a big opportunity for professional trading terminals, mirroring the memecoin rush.
These terminals integrate multiple platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi and justify charging fees by offering a suite of key features:
Market Aggregation & Order Routing: A single interface to view odds across all major platforms and route trades to the venue with the best price and lowest fees (@tradefoxai, @fliprbot, @StandDOTtrade).
Real-Time News & Data Integration: A live feed of news, social media sentiment, and economic data integrated directly alongside the relevant markets and their impact on a trader's open positions (@VersoTrading, @betmoardotfun, @fireplacegg).
Onchain Intelligence: Tools for tracking the flow of smart money, identifying large wallet movements, and analyzing the positions of top traders (@hash_dive, @poly_data, @polyburg).
AI Assisted Market and Opportunity Discovery: Utilizing AI to augment and improve a trader's decision making process (@polyfactual, @polymtrade, @Polysights) or utilizing agents to help users passively participate in prediction markets (@polytraderAI, @rainmakerdotfun).
Advanced Risk Management and Order Types: Tools that allow users to model complex scenarios and utilize order types such as TWAPs and trailing stop losses for professional traders.
Third Party Leverage: Offering leverage on selective high volume markets with their custom liquidation engines.
These terminals serve the power users driving the most volume in prediction markets.
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